The School of Odds
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 42.32%2.36fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.966%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.30%42.31%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.202.3147.62%45.08%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 57.68%1.73fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%57.70%57.69%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.641.7064.52%60.99%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 42.32%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 57.68%. For Hanshin Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -1.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.23%E -0.966%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 04:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 04:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.60%E -6.84%K -19.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 02:30
William Hill🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.50%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:54
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.35%E -1.92%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 16:44
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.53%E -1.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:14
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:14
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:05
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:22
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 21:44
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.14%E -4.44%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 04:04
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.19%E -2.32%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:33
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.62%E -2.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 16:45
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 04:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:44
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.14%E -4.44%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.14%E -4.44%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:44
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.14%E -4.44%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:44
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.72%E -4.82%K -12.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 22:34
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.72%E -4.82%K -12.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 21:44
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.73%E -3.55%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 04:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.73%E -3.55%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.99%E -3.67%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.00%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 17:50
Bally Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.00%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 17:50
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.00%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:00
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.00%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.00%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.12%E -5.29%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.72%E -4.82%K -12.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.