The School of Odds
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 56.54%1.77fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.64%56.33%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.661.7162.50%60.44%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 43.46%2.30fair odd
EV -0.901%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.704%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%43.36%43.67%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.202.2850.00%46.05%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 56.54%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 43.46%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -0.901%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.32%E -1.94%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 08:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.32%E -1.94%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 08:44
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.32%E -1.94%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 08:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.32%E -1.94%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 08:24
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:34
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:35
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.45%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 08:45
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.45%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 18:33
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 08:45
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.34%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 08:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.34%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 08:44
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.34%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 08:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -5.59%E -3.34%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -7.42%E -3.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 08:49
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.34%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 08:45
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.15%E -3.71%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.901%E -0.395%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 03:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 17:44
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 08:45
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 08:29
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.21%E -0.980%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.21%E -0.980%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 07:24
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.21%E -0.980%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 07:24
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.21%E -0.980%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 07:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:35
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.98%E -5.58%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 08:43
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 08:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.07%E -6.54%K -13.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 08:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.07%E -6.54%K -13.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.