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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 52.43%1.91fair odd
EV +0.135%
Edge +0.071%
Kelly +0.148%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%52.29%52.41%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.781.9158.48%55.55%56.18%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 47.57%2.10fair odd
EV -0.096%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.087%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.71%47.59%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.962.1054.64%50.88%51.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 52.43%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 47.57%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.907. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.910, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.135%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.135%E +0.071%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 07:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV +0.135%E +0.071%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -11.04%E -5.90%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 03:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -0.914%E -0.483%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -11.04%E -5.90%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 08:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.01%E -1.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.01%E -1.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -3.01%E -1.63%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -12.94%E -7.07%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 03:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.58%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -5.11%E -2.82%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.096%E -0.046%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-01 08:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.11%E -2.82%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.00%E -0.970%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 08:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 08:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.61%E -5.06%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.95%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.28%E -3.19%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 08:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 08:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 08:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 08:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 08:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.73%E -4.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 08:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.25%E -4.72%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.78%E -5.04%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 08:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.78%E -5.04%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 08:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -10.35%E -6.05%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.71%E -3.97%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.