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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 52.26%1.91fair odd
EV +0.346%
Edge +0.180%
Kelly +0.377%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.34%52.51%51.85%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.801.9259.17%55.76%55.56%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 47.74%2.09fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +2.29%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%47.49%48.15%50.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.991.982.1553.76%50.22%50.51%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 52.26%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 47.74%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -11.67%E -6.91%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +2.63%E +1.22%K +2.29%G +0.060% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 10:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.63%E -6.22%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.246%E +0.117%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.709%E -0.341%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 05:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.02%E -4.55%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.709%E -0.341%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 08:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -0.709%E -0.341%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -0.709%E -0.341%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -0.709%E -0.341%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -0.709%E -0.341%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -0.709%E -0.341%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -0.709%E -0.341%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 17:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 08:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 08:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -0.176%E -0.092%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -1.74%E -0.928%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.44%E -3.28%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.39%E -3.81%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 08:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 08:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 08:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 08:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.30%E -4.90%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV +0.346%E +0.180%K +0.377%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -10.73%E -5.74%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.176%E -0.092%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.73%E -5.74%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -11.21%E -6.03%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-26 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.