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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 51.09%1.96fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.21%51.09%51.06%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.831.9356.18%54.23%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.91%48.94%50.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.921.9954.64%51.95%52.22%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 51.09%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 48.91%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 04:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 04:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.14%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.11%E -2.64%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 08:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 08:48 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:17 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 15:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 08:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 15:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 00:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 00:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.14%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-28 08:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.69%EV -9.06%E -5.09%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.