The School of Odds
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 53.35%1.87fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%53.83%53.25%56.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.771.8459.88%57.33%56.50%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 46.65%2.14fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.563%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.49%46.17%46.75%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.042.1752.63%48.75%48.90%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 53.35%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 46.65%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.90%E -6.53%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.22%E +0.563%K +1.04%G +0.013%6.0%2026-05-27 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.90%E -6.53%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.22%E +0.563%K +1.04%G +0.013%6.0%2026-05-27 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.90%E -6.53%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.22%E +0.563%K +1.04%G +0.013%6.0%2026-05-27 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.90%E -6.53%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.22%E +0.563%K +1.04%G +0.013%6.0%2026-05-27 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.90%E -6.53%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.22%E +0.563%K +1.04%G +0.013%6.0%2026-05-27 08:30
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.90%E -6.53%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +1.22%E +0.563%K +1.04%G +0.013%6.0%2026-05-27 08:30
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.83%E -5.82%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.289%E +0.134%K +0.251%G +0.001%5.7%2026-05-27 08:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 08:37
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.90%E -6.53%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.90%E -6.53%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.90%E -6.53%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 08:00
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.98%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -1.83%E -0.994%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-27 08:30
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 08:49
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 08:49
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 08:40
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 08:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 08:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 08:28
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 08:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.70%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 08:49
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 08:10
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 08:29
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.30%E -5.47%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.44%E -5.44%K -11.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-27 08:49
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -1.83%E -0.994%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -11.37%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 08:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.