Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 57.40%1.74fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.74%57.56%57.11%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.651.7263.69%61.22%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 42.60%2.35fair odd
EV +0.113%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.084%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.44%42.89%45.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.222.212.3548.08%45.14%45.25%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 57.40%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 42.60%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.347. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.350, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.113%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.16%E -5.10%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.113%E +0.048%K +0.084%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.14%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.02%E -0.877%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 04:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.14%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.02%E -0.877%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 04:30
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.74%E -5.49%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.02%E -0.877%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:29
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 04:49
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.31%E -5.89%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:50
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.88%E -6.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.88%E -6.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.88%E -6.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.88%E -6.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:50
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.88%E -6.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.15%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 04:39
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.88%E -6.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.15%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.88%E -6.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.15%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.88%E -6.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.15%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 04:45
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.57%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 04:40
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -1.27%E -0.741%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -5.42%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 04:50
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -1.85%E -1.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -5.85%E -2.65%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 04:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 04:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 04:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.01%E -4.33%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:40
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.59%E -4.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.16%E -5.10%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 04:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.29%E -3.21%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.55%E -3.48%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 04:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.14%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 04:40
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.14%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 04:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.14%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 04:55
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.29%E -3.21%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 04:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.01%E -4.33%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 04:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.01%E -4.33%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 04:39
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.29%E -3.21%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 04:35
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.29%E -3.21%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 04:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.59%E -4.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 04:45
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.27%E -0.741%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -11.39%E -5.48%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 04:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.