The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hanshin Tigers v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 62.26%1.61fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -6.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%62.26%62.56%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.541.5566.67%65.32%64.94%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 37.74%2.65fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%37.74%37.44%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.532.6041.67%39.71%39.53%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 62.26%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 37.74%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.87%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.87%E -0.718%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 07:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.87%E -0.718%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 07:44
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.24%E -0.866%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-15 03:15
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.13%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 13:49
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.89%E -1.94%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 05:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.75%E -3.10%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.62%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.75%E -3.10%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 06:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.62%E -4.41%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.64%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 14:34
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.62%E -4.41%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.42%E -3.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 08:25
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.62%E -4.41%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.42%E -3.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 06:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.