Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 67.37%1.48fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.63%67.27%67.47%69.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.391.4674.07%71.80%71.94%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 32.63%3.06fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.374%
Kelly +0.552%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.96%32.73%32.53%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.892.903.1037.74%34.57%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 67.37%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 32.63%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.36%E -4.57%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +1.16%E +0.374%K +0.552%G +0.006%4.2%2026-04-14 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.03%E -5.10%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.472%E -0.155%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 08:55
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.71%E -5.62%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.10%E -0.701%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.10%E -0.701%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 20:14
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.10%E -0.701%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 20:14
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.10%E -0.701%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 20:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.10%E -0.701%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.10%E -0.701%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 20:20
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -4.34%E -3.05%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -3.08%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.34%E -3.05%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.74%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.05%E -6.71%K -25.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.74%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.01%E -3.55%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.39%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 20:25
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -2.99%E -2.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -5.04%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -7.03%E -5.10%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -5.04%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 21:14
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.34%E -3.05%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 08:50
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.34%E -3.05%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 23:55
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.03%E -5.10%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 18:03
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.32%E -1.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -6.67%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.32%E -1.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -6.67%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 08:55
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.36%E -4.57%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.03%E -5.10%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 19:10
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -1.64%E -1.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 08:55
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 23:53
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:39
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 08:55
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.32%E -1.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.52%E -5.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.