Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 64.57%1.55fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.77%64.51%64.59%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.471.5371.43%68.32%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 35.43%2.82fair odd
EV +0.975%
Edge +0.342%
Kelly +0.527%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.49%35.41%37.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.412.642.602.8541.49%37.89%38.39%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 64.57%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 35.43%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.975%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.975%E +0.342%K +0.527%G +0.005%3.6%2026-07-26 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +0.975%E +0.342%K +0.527%G +0.005%3.6%2026-07-26 08:55
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.975%E +0.342%K +0.527%G +0.005%4.5%2026-07-26 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.79%E -2.54%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.51%E -0.541%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.63%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 08:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 08:45
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 08:40
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -1.85%E -1.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 08:45
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 08:19
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 13:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -7.53%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 08:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.14%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 08:45
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 08:45
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 08:20
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 08:50
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 08:20
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 08:45
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 08:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -1.21%E -0.789%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -8.59%E -3.33%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 08:35
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.25%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.00%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 36.75%EV -14.61%E -6.06%K -10.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 08:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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