The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hanshin Tigers v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-07-24 09:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 60.15%1.66fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%60.29%60.30%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.561.571.6168.03%63.99%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 39.85%2.51fair odd
EV -0.369%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.246%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%39.71%39.70%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.362.352.5046.08%42.39%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 60.15%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 39.85%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.369%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -1.96%E -0.798%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 08:50
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.56%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 08:45
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.95%E -2.52%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:50
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 13:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.369%E -0.148%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.369%E -0.148%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 08:55
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 07:30
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 08:35
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 07:44
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.95%E -2.52%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 07:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 07:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:45
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 13:35
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 08:05
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 07:30
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 07:30
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 18:05
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 07:45
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 08:19
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.58%E -5.64%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.32%E -5.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-24 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.29%EV -10.38%E -6.97%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.71%EV -13.52%E -6.23%K -11.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -11.58%E -7.88%K -24.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -0.369%E -0.148%K -0.246%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.