Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 2.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 65.79%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 34.21%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -2.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.63%E -1.78%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 03:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.63%E -1.78%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 03:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -2.63%E -1.78%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -5.23%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 08:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.63%E -1.78%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 03:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.63%E -1.78%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-01 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 07:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 02:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.34%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.50%E -0.876%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 08:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 08:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 02:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.37%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.37%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.26%E -3.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.37%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.84%E -1.000%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 08:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 08:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 08:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 08:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 08:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 02:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 08:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 08:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 08:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.95%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 08:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 08:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 04:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 02:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 08:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.