The School of Odds
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Hanshin Tigers v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 62.86%1.59fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%62.75%62.81%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.45%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 37.14%2.69fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -0.951%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%37.25%37.19%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.63%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 62.86%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 37.14%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.57%E -1.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.57%E -1.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 08:55
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.20%E -2.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.54%E -1.77%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 08:35
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.57%E -0.592%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.57%E -0.592%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.57%E -0.592%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.43%E -1.32%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 08:30
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.80%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 08:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 08:39
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.40%E -2.54%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 08:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.83%E -2.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.46%E -2.93%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.43%E -1.32%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 08:40
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.46%E -2.93%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 08:30
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 08:30
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.43%E -1.32%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 08:30
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.88%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 08:34
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.34%E -4.26%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 08:28
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.34%E -4.26%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.97%E -4.71%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.43%E -1.32%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.97%E -4.71%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.97%E -4.71%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 08:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.97%E -4.71%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.23%E -5.64%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.86%E -6.11%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 08:55
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.86%E -6.11%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 08:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.49%E -6.59%K -21.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 08:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.