The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hanshin Tigers v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-09-21 05:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 50.31%1.99fair odd
EV +0.126%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.127%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.84%50.29%50.34%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.871.9957.80%53.73%53.48%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 49.69%2.01fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%49.71%49.66%51.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.881.901.9357.14%53.10%52.63%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 50.31%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 49.69%. For Hanshin Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.987. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.990, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.126%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV +0.126%E +0.063%K +0.127%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-21 04:55
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -1.89%E -0.967%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 04:51
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.08%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.40%E -2.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 04:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.40%E -2.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 04:34
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.91%E -2.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 02:20
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.91%E -2.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 02:29
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 03:09
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 04:49
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 04:49
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 03:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 02:25
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 04:49
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 15:39
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 04:04
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 15:39
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.41%E -3.45%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 04:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 04:44
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 04:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 04:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 04:44
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.60%E -2.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 04:39
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 15:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 15:39
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 02:19
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 03:29
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-21 04:49
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 15:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.28%EV -11.45%E -6.50%K -15.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -11.56%E -6.49%K -14.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-21 04:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -12.96%E -7.49%K -17.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.71%EV -13.05%E -7.46%K -17.40%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-21 04:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.