The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hanshin Tigers v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-07-22 09:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 68.29%1.46fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -7.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%68.20%68.21%69.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.371.361.4276.34%72.75%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 31.71%3.15fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.34%31.80%31.79%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.54%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 68.29%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 31.71%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.03%E -2.13%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 08:50
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -3.03%E -2.13%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.53%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.65%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.92%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.92%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.14%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.14%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 08:45
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.14%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 08:45
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.39%E -3.14%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 23:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.39%E -3.14%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.21%E -4.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 23:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.39%E -3.14%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.38%E -5.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 08:45
William Hill🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.08%E -3.65%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 07:35
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.08%E -3.65%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -3.92%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.76%E -4.17%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.76%E -4.17%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 08:55
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.76%E -4.17%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 03:39
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.76%E -4.17%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 08:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -2.97%E -0.970%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 08:35
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 07:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 05:20
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 08:35
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 05:24
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.63%E -3.38%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.81%E -5.78%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.81%E -5.78%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.81%E -5.78%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.81%E -5.78%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 08:50
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.81%E -5.78%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.81%E -5.78%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -9.17%E -6.90%K -27.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -11.21%E -4.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.33%EV -10.54%E -8.05%K -34.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.67%EV -14.38%E -5.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-22 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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