The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hanshin Tigers v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 59.58%1.68fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.36%59.56%59.60%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.581.571.6467.11%63.29%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 40.42%2.47fair odd
EV -0.969%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.668%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.44%40.40%41.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.332.4547.62%43.17%42.92%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 59.58%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 40.42%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.969%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.80%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-16 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.61%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-16 08:55
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-16 08:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.18%E -0.901%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-16 07:45
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.61%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 07:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 08:00
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 08:05
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 07:55
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 08:00
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 08:05
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 05:04
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-16 07:54
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-16 07:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-16 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-16 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-16 08:50
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-16 07:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.969%E -0.395%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 08:14
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 08:49
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 05:04
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-16 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.36%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.64%EV -13.90%E -6.53%K -12.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-16 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.50%EV -11.23%E -7.54%K -22.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -15.12%E -7.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-16 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.