The School of Odds
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Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 62.84%1.59fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.73%63.02%62.81%64.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.511.501.5567.57%66.20%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 37.16%2.69fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.659%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%36.98%37.19%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.582.552.7440.00%38.80%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 62.84%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 37.16%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +1.81%E +0.659%K +1.04%G +0.019%3.2%2026-06-24 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +1.81%E +0.659%K +1.04%G +0.019%3.2%2026-06-24 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.48%E -2.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -0.051%E -0.019%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-24 07:50
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -4.48%E -2.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -1.91%E -0.723%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 07:50
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -4.48%E -2.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -2.28%E -0.867%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 08:00
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.11%E -3.38%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 08:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 06:39
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.85%E -2.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.14%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 13:50
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.48%E -2.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 23:00
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.59%E -1.67%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.59%E -1.67%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 08:40
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 15:18
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 15:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.