The School of Odds
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Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 60.53%1.65fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.819%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.37%60.64%61.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.561.561.6366.23%63.97%64.10%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 39.47%2.53fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -0.884%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.73%39.63%39.36%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.352.5044.44%42.04%42.46%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 60.53%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 39.47%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -1.34%E -0.819%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -7.64%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:59
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.94%E -1.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.19%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 13:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -3.69%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 08:30
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.76%E -2.36%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.72%E -0.691%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.76%E -2.36%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.72%E -0.691%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.76%E -2.36%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.36%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -6.46%E -2.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 08:45
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.33%E -0.530%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 08:50
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.88%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 08:44
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.97%E -3.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 08:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.97%E -3.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 06:00
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.69%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 08:34
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 08:34
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 08:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.18%E -3.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.85%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 08:50
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.18%E -3.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 05:59
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 08:35
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 08:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 08:45
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 08:40
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 08:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.99%E -5.26%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.60%E -5.69%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.