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Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hanshin Tigers (Local)
Prediction 74.01%1.35fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -9.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.93%74.09%73.89%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.271.281.3182.64%78.57%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV +6.58%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.139%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%25.91%26.11%28.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.603.604.1032.26%27.75%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 74.01%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 25.99%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.23%E -6.64%K -34.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.58%E +1.60%K +2.12%G +0.139% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +2.94%E +0.741%K +0.992%G +0.029% | 4.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.34%EV -5.27%E -4.12%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.66%EV +1.64%E +0.419%K +0.562%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.75%E -5.36%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.38%E +0.353%K +0.475%G +0.007% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +0.077%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-30 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.27%E -4.12%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.22%E -0.322%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 08:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.71%E -7.96%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -1.22%E -0.322%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -1.74%E -0.461%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -1.74%E -0.461%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.49%E -5.99%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.52%E -0.673%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.49%E -5.99%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.52%E -0.673%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 08:48 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.75%E -5.36%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 08:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.75%E -5.36%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.75%E -5.36%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.27%E -4.12%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.49%E -5.99%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.49%E -5.99%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.49%E -5.99%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-30 08:43 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.79%E -2.92%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.32%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.79%E -2.92%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.32%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.79%E -2.92%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.32%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.79%E -2.92%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.32%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.79%E -2.92%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.32%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.79%E -2.92%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.32%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.05%E -2.33%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 22:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 13:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.27%E -4.12%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -14.22%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71%EV -9.71%E -7.96%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -15.52%E -4.78%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.93%EV -10.45%E -8.64%K -49.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -19.42%E -6.26%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.