Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-09-30 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 72.40%1.38fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -8.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.05%72.62%72.27%74.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.291.3480.65%77.13%77.52%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 27.60%3.62fair odd
EV +3.49%
Edge +0.930%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.45%27.38%27.73%29.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.423.453.7534.48%29.27%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 72.40%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 27.60%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.75, producing a positive expected value of +3.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.32%E -5.72%K -26.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +3.49%E +0.930%K +1.27%G +0.044%4.8%2026-09-29 16:40
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.43%E -3.35%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.653%E -0.181%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-29 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.60%E -5.12%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.653%E -0.181%K -0.251%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.50%E -7.60%K -37.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.653%E -0.181%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 14:19
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.60%E -5.12%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-29 15:30
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.60%E -5.12%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-29 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.60%E -5.12%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-29 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.60%E -5.12%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-29 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.20%EV -2.98%E -2.22%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -3.96%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-29 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 15:14
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.88%E -4.52%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 16:30
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.60%E -5.12%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-29 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.43%E -3.35%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.62%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 17:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -5.88%E -4.52%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.54%EV -5.62%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 18:50
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.43%E -3.35%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.43%E -3.35%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.88%E -4.52%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 17:59
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.60%E -5.12%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-29 13:24
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.15%E -3.93%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-29 16:33
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.60%E -5.12%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-29 16:35
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.60%E -5.12%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -8.05%E -6.34%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-29 18:05
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -8.77%E -6.96%K -33.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-29 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.05%EV -10.22%E -8.24%K -42.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.95%EV -19.97%E -6.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-29 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.