Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.56
assuming max odds 2.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 62.80%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 37.20%. For Hanshin Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -2.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.03%E -1.30%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-22 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -2.66%E -1.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -5.52%E -2.17%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-23 08:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.28%E -2.13%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.54%E -0.970%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.28%E -2.13%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.28%E -2.13%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.28%E -2.13%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.91%E -2.56%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.91%E -2.56%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.03%E -1.56%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.91%E -2.56%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.91%E -2.56%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.26%E -2.48%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.54%E -2.99%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.17%E -3.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.03%E -1.56%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -5.17%E -3.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -5.89%E -2.33%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-23 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.29%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 08:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.80%E -3.86%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 08:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.42%E -4.31%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.42%E -4.31%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.05%E -4.77%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.05%E -4.77%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.05%E -4.77%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.31%E -5.69%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-23 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.94%E -6.16%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-23 08:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.76%EV -10.19%E -7.13%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 38.24%EV -14.07%E -6.09%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-23 08:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.