The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hanshin Tigers v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-06-08 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 67.17%1.49fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -9.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%67.13%67.51%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.401.401.4372.46%71.20%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 32.83%3.05fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -0.748%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%32.87%32.49%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.903.0036.36%34.78%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 67.17%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 32.83%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.95%E -2.76%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.50%E -0.499%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-08 07:59
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.95%E -2.76%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 07:09
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.62%E -3.26%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.71%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-08 05:54
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.30%E -3.76%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.80%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 08:10
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.50%E -0.499%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 08:29
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.50%E -0.499%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 08:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.71%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 05:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.71%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 05:49
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.71%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 06:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.31%E -5.30%K -19.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 08:39
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.31%E -5.30%K -19.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.42%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-08 08:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.