Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 59.98%1.67fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.27%60.30%59.70%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.571.6567.57%64.20%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV +4.06%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.103%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%39.70%40.30%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.392.392.6046.95%41.87%41.84%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 59.98%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 40.02%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -11.24%E -7.59%K -23.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +4.06%E +1.56%K +2.54%G +0.103%6.0%2026-06-05 15:59
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -8.24%E -5.38%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV +0.862%E +0.342%K +0.567%G +0.005%5.0%2026-06-06 04:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.062%E +0.025%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.062%E +0.025%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.062%E +0.025%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.062%E +0.025%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 04:09
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.062%E +0.025%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 04:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.062%E +0.025%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.062%E +0.025%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 04:09
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.062%E +0.025%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 04:09
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.062%E +0.025%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 04:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.739%E -0.298%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 04:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -8.24%E -5.38%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -1.14%E -0.461%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 04:10
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 04:40
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 04:49
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 04:49
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.94%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 04:49
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -4.34%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-06 04:39
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.04%E -2.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.54%E -2.35%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.04%E -0.631%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.04%E -0.631%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 04:50
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.44%E -2.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 04:49
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 04:39
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.24%E -5.38%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.94%E -2.53%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 04:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.64%E -2.92%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 04:50
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.64%E -2.92%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 04:50
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.64%E -2.92%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 04:48
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 04:50
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 04:49
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.44%E -4.13%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 04:50
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.04%E -4.54%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.94%E -3.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 04:39
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -8.34%E -3.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 04:49
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.94%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 04:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -7.64%E -4.96%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -13.95%E -6.49%K -12.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-06 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.36%EV -8.84%E -5.81%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.64%EV -14.75%E -6.92%K -13.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-06 04:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.