The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hanshin Tigers v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 64.85%1.54fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -6.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%64.89%64.69%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.4971.43%68.73%68.97%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 35.15%2.84fair odd
EV -0.519%
Edge -0.183%
Kelly -0.284%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%35.11%35.31%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.692.672.8338.46%37.14%37.38%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 64.85%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 35.15%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.83, with an expected value of -0.519%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -3.38%E -2.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 04:39
William Hill🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.09%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 13:39
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.03%E -2.72%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.85%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.67%E -3.18%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -0.519%E -0.183%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 04:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.67%E -3.18%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -0.519%E -0.183%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 04:39
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.67%E -3.18%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.09%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.97%E -4.12%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.33%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 04:49
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.97%E -4.12%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.85%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 14:08
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.97%E -4.12%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.85%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 17:29
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.90%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.90%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.90%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 14:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.60%E -3.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 22:18
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.21%E -6.58%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.33%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-07 04:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.