The School of Odds
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Hanshin Tigers v Saitama Seibu Lions

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 56.88%1.76fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.94%57.03%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.671.7163.29%60.35%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 43.12%2.32fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.06%42.97%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.012.182.202.2849.75%45.80%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 56.88%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 43.12%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -1.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.41%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-03 08:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.71%E -2.13%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 08:29
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-02 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 08:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 08:20
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 08:19
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:30
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:29
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.43%E -2.96%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.43%E -2.96%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:49
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.43%E -2.96%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.43%E -2.96%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:50
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.43%E -2.96%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.43%E -2.96%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 08:49
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 08:49
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.69%E -0.741%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 08:30
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 07:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 08:10
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 08:28
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 00:39
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 08:09
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 16:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-02 18:09
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 08:19
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 16:40
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-03 00:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-03 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -10.13%E -6.41%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 44.01%EV -13.33%E -6.63%K -13.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-03 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.