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Hanshin Tigers v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hanshin Tigers (Local)
Prediction 53.35%1.87fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.24%53.37%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.761.761.8360.24%56.77%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 46.65%2.14fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%46.76%46.63%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.002.1052.63%49.61%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 53.35%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 46.65%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.43%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.04%E -0.973%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.43%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.31%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.43%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.31%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.98%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.98%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.03%E -2.83%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.64%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 08:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 06:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.84%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.31%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.38%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.70%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.70%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.70%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.70%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.76%E -5.13%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.30%E -5.47%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.30%E -5.47%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -11.43%E -6.89%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -11.37%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-16 08:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.