Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Saitama Seibu Lions

Kickoff: 2026-06-04 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 46.70%2.14fair odd
EV +0.408%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.354%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.62%46.75%48.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.022.002.1553.19%49.57%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 53.30%1.88fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.60%53.38%53.25%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8159.88%56.81%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 46.70%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 53.30%. For Hanshin Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.408%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.408%E +0.190%K +0.354%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-04 07:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.408%E +0.190%K +0.354%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-04 07:40
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-04 08:30
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-04 07:40
William Hill🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 08:39
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 08:39
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 08:40
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 08:39
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 07:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 08:29
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 08:50
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.73%E -2.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 08:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.13%E -3.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 07:59
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-04 08:49
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-04 08:49
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 08:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 07:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 07:39
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 08:49
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 07:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.79%E -4.50%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 07:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.79%E -4.50%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.79%E -4.50%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.79%E -4.50%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.53%E -3.80%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 07:50
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 08:00
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.73%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-04 07:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.73%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-04 07:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-04 07:50
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -9.87%E -5.11%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-04 08:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.80%E -5.65%K -11.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -9.39%E -5.52%K -13.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-04 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.04%EV -12.20%E -6.49%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.96%EV -10.99%E -6.58%K -16.40%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-04 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.