默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

58%

42%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 57.96%1.73公平赔率

EV -3.20%

优势 -1.92%

Kelly -4.78%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

57.38%58.07%57.93%58.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.62%61.73%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 42.04%2.38公平赔率

EV -1.22%

优势 -0.518%

Kelly -0.901%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布

41.25%41.93%42.07%42.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.60%44.44%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：57.96%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：42.04%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.38。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.35，期望值为-1.22%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-09 16:00
1xBet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.78%E -2.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.90%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-09-09 16:10
Pinnacle🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.22%E -0.518%K -0.901%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-09 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.22%E -0.518%K -0.901%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-09 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.22%E -0.518%K -0.901%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-09 16:05
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-09 16:05
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-09 16:05
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-09 16:45
BetUS🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.26%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-09 16:15
Coolbet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.58%E -2.02%K -3.61%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-09 16:05
FanDuel🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.10%E -3.76%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-09 16:00
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.10%E -3.76%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.10%E -3.76%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 16:04
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.10%E -3.76%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-09 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-09 16:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-09 16:05
Bovada🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-09 17:34
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-09 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-09 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-09 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-09 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.42%E -5.33%K -14.51%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.62%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-09-09 16:03
ReBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-09-09 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.16%E -6.55%K -18.46%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-09 16:05

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。