The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-10-06 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 62.72%1.59fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -6.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.31%62.74%62.65%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5470.42%66.48%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 37.28%2.68fair odd
EV +0.645%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.379%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%37.26%37.35%38.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.522.542.7044.44%39.65%39.45%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 62.72%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 37.28%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.645%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.17%E -4.84%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +0.645%E +0.239%K +0.379%G +0.002%4.6%2026-10-05 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.40%E -2.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.96%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-05 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.40%E -2.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.40%E -2.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.03%E -2.64%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 13:00
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.66%E -3.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 15:14
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.66%E -3.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.29%E -3.50%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.83%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 13:00
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.40%E -2.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 13:10
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.40%E -2.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 13:10
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.66%E -3.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 13:05
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.54%E -4.39%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 13:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.29%E -3.50%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -6.06%E -2.41%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 13:04
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:04
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:05
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.91%E -3.94%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.42%E -5.77%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-05 13:00
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.68%E -6.72%K -21.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -12.40%E -5.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-05 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.31%EV -10.93%E -7.70%K -26.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-05 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.