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Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hanshin Tigers (Local)
Prediction 65.48%1.53fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -6.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.43%65.49%65.48%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.4872.46%69.50%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 34.52%2.90fair odd
EV -0.248%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.51%34.52%35.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.702.8940.00%36.81%37.04%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 65.48%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 34.52%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.89, with an expected value of -0.248%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.39%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 04:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 20:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.97%E -0.695%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 04:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -5.77%E -2.11%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -8.19%E -3.08%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 04:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 22:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.248%E -0.086%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.248%E -0.086%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 04:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 04:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 04:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 04:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.57%E -3.65%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.57%E -3.65%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.57%E -3.65%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.57%E -3.65%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 22:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 04:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.36%E -4.45%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 04:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 21:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.67%E -5.44%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 04:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 04:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 04:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -9.63%E -6.98%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -13.71%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 04:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.