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Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hanshin Tigers (Local)
Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.70%55.29%55.12%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.701.7762.11%58.96%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 44.77%2.23fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.910%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%44.71%44.88%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2851.28%47.43%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 55.23%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 44.77%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +2.07%E +0.910%K +1.62%G +0.034% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 07:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 08:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 08:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 22:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.75%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-15 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.75%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 07:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.75%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.75%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.75%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-14 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 07:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 07:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 07:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 07:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 14:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 07:58 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 14:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.43%E -3.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 07:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 07:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 07:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 08:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 07:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 07:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -9.12%E -4.49%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.38%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-15 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.