The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hanshin Tigers v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-07-01 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 57.07%1.75fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%57.04%56.71%57.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.661.671.7161.73%60.17%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 42.93%2.33fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.963%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.01%42.96%43.29%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.252.3047.62%45.20%44.54%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 57.07%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 42.93%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.83%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-01 07:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 08:29
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.84%E -4.69%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 07:29
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 08:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.56%E -2.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 07:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.25%E -0.544%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 07:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.25%E -0.544%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 07:29
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 07:28
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.84%E -4.69%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 07:39
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 08:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 08:10
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 08:08
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 07:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.