Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.61
assuming max odds 2.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 62.98%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 37.02%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +3.65%E +1.30%K +2.03%G +0.074% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +3.65%E +1.30%K +2.03%G +0.074% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -0.791%E -0.295%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.53%E -0.576%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 04:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -4.12%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.86%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 04:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 04:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 04:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 04:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 04:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.45%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 04:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV +1.40%E +0.870%K +2.30%G +0.032% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -11.90%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.90%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.90%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.90%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -13.01%E -5.53%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.