Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 57.77%1.73fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.24%57.75%57.74%58.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.621.7164.10%61.21%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 42.23%2.37fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.06%42.25%42.26%44.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.232.3448.78%45.01%44.84%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 57.77%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 42.23%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.34, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -1.21%E -0.706%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -10.90%E -5.17%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 08:50
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.78%E -1.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.36%E -1.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-19 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.03%E -0.877%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:30
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 08:38
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.41%E -2.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 08:50
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:50
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.25%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 08:50
William Hill🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.19%E -0.509%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 10:05
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 13:22
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 08:40
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 08:49
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 08:50
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 08:50
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 08:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.30%E -5.92%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -13.44%E -6.55%K -12.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-19 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.