The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 65.68%1.52fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%65.63%65.79%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.441.441.5072.99%69.23%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 34.32%2.91fair odd
EV +2.27%
Edge +0.762%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.43%34.37%34.21%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.702.9840.00%36.84%37.04%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 65.68%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 34.32%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -6.08%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV +2.27%E +0.762%K +1.15%G +0.026%3.5%2026-06-14 03:40
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.08%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.473%E -0.163%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 03:50
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.08%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.473%E -0.163%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 03:30
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.76%E -3.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.50%E -0.524%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-14 03:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.76%E -3.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.85%E -0.646%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 03:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.76%E -3.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.85%E -0.646%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 03:50
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.19%E -0.768%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 03:36
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.08%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.53%E -0.892%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 03:40
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.91%E -1.39%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 03:30
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.91%E -1.39%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 03:50
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.91%E -1.39%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 03:49
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.76%E -3.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.59%E -1.65%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 03:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -6.08%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -5.28%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 03:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.08%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.62%E -2.04%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 03:40
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.62%E -2.04%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 03:29
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.62%E -2.04%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 03:40
William Hill🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.79%E -1.89%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 03:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 03:49
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.08%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 03:40
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.08%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 03:40
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.76%E -3.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.05%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 14:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.08%E -3.85%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 14:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.08%E -3.85%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.08%E -3.85%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 14:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.08%E -3.85%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 03:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-14 03:49
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.48%E -0.986%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.48%E -0.986%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.48%E -0.986%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 21:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.48%E -0.986%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 03:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 03:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -10.02%E -7.31%K -27.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -14.20%E -5.68%K -9.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-14 03:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.