The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 61.18%1.63fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.40%61.26%61.07%62.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.541.6067.11%64.87%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 38.82%2.58fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%38.74%38.93%39.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.402.5343.48%41.27%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 61.18%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 38.82%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.53, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -2.11%E -1.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -5.28%E -2.16%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.79%E -0.707%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 12:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.79%E -0.707%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 10:30
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.73%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 10:53
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 08:55
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.95%E -2.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 10:45
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 11:04
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 11:10
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 20:14
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 20:14
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 20:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 06:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.18%E -0.864%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 10:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 10:29
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 07:17
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.45%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 10:35
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 08:05
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 10:30
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 10:49
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 10:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 10:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.00%E -3.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 06:55
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.78%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 21:09
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.23%E -5.49%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.84%E -5.93%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-14 08:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.