The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 66.73%1.50fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.838%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%66.76%66.63%69.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.401.4873.53%70.88%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 33.27%3.01fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.96%33.24%33.37%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.853.1038.46%35.19%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 66.73%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 33.27%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -7.25%E -5.21%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +3.14%E +1.01%K +1.49%G +0.047%4.2%2026-04-16 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -0.522%E -0.174%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -0.854%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 08:45
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.85%E -0.628%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 08:43
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.85%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 08:55
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 08:35
William Hill🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 08:39
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 08:40
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 08:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.24%E -2.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.85%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.24%E -2.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.85%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 08:35
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 08:45
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:30
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 08:30
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 08:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 08:50
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 08:30
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.58%E -6.26%K -23.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.17%E -3.77%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 08:45
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.24%E -0.838%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -13.50%E -5.19%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.