The School of Odds

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

2026-07-10 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 64.69%1.55fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%64.81%64.59%65.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5171%69%69%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 35.31%2.83fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%35.19%35.41%36.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.702.8040%37%37%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.95%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 18:39
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -5.71%E -2.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 18:39
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -6.06%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.12%E -0.400%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-09 16:05
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.12%E -0.400%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-09 16:04
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:25
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 18:44
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:25
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:39
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:09
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.26%E -2.88%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 18:44
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.91%E -3.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:12
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.21%E -4.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.53%E -0.918%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 18:45
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.21%E -4.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 15:59
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.21%E -4.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -5.01%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 18:50
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.21%E -4.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:04
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:04
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:05
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:04
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 18:39
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:34
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 18:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:04
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:04
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.85%E -4.76%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.18%E -3.15%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 18:44
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -8.79%E -6.24%K -21.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.95%E -3.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-09 18:43
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.44%E -6.74%K -23.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-09 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.44%E -6.74%K -23.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.71%E -4.69%K -7.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 18:44
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.44%E -6.74%K -23.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.71%E -4.69%K -7.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.