Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 63.97%1.56fair odd

EV -2.12%

Edge -1.39%

Kelly -4.00%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.50%63.97%63.96%65.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.411.471.481.5370.92%67.84%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 36.03%2.78fair odd

EV +1.96%

Edge +0.691%

Kelly +1.07%

Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.19%36.03%36.04%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.392.592.602.8341.84%38.57%38.46%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.96%E -4.05%K -12.68%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +1.96%E +0.691%K +1.07%G +0.021%	3.4%	2026-07-11 08:49
LowVig.ag	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.96%E -4.05%K -12.68%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +1.96%E +0.691%K +1.07%G +0.021%	3.4%	2026-07-11 08:49
1xBet	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%	2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -1.65%E -0.603%K -0.952%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-11 08:44
FanDuel	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.96%E -4.05%K -12.68%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.01%E -0.738%K -1.17%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-11 08:39
Pinnacle	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.73%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-07-11 08:54
MyBookie.ag	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-11 08:54
BetUS	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.53%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-11 08:54
DraftKings	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.53%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-11 08:29
Tipico (DE)	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.80%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.53%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-11 08:40
888sport	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.61%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-11 08:54
888sport (SE)	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.61%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-11 08:54
NordicBet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-11 08:45
Betsson	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-11 08:44
Coolbet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-11 08:39
Bovada	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-11 08:55
BetMGM	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-11 08:39
theScore Bet	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.96%E -4.05%K -12.68%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-11 08:54
ReBet	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.96%E -4.05%K -12.68%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-11 08:55
Hard Rock Bet	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-11 08:40
BoyleSports	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-11 08:40
Betway	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.33%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-11 08:39
William Hill	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.12%E -1.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -7.05%E -2.73%K -4.46%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-10 14:24
Everygame	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-11 08:54
Fanatics	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.13%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-11 08:53
Caesars	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-10 14:08
Mr Green (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-10 14:10
BetRivers	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:34
Unibet	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:35
Unibet (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:34
PMU (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:34
Bally Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 08:35
Coral	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-11 08:40
Unibet (FR)	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-11 08:54
Betclic (FR)	1.41I 70.92%NM 62.89%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 37.11%EV -13.90%E -5.81%K -10.00%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-07-11 08:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.