Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 74.64%1.34fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%74.51%74.83%76.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.251.3181.97%79.58%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 25.36%3.94fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +0.543%
Kelly +0.722%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%25.49%25.17%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.723.754.0332.79%26.90%26.67%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 74.64%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 25.36%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -5.95%E -4.72%K -22.88%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +2.19%E +0.543%K +0.722%G +0.016%4.2%2026-09-26 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -5.95%E -4.72%K -22.88%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +2.19%E +0.543%K +0.722%G +0.016%4.2%2026-09-26 08:34
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.70%E -5.36%K -26.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.43%E +0.357%K +0.476%G +0.007%5.0%2026-09-26 08:35
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.19%E -6.66%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.43%E +0.357%K +0.476%G +0.007%6.3%2026-09-26 08:39
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.19%E -6.66%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.43%E +0.357%K +0.476%G +0.007%6.3%2026-09-26 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.19%E -6.66%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.43%E +0.357%K +0.476%G +0.007%6.3%2026-09-26 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.19%E -6.66%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.43%E +0.357%K +0.476%G +0.007%6.3%2026-09-26 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.19%E -6.66%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.43%E +0.357%K +0.476%G +0.007%6.3%2026-09-26 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.19%E -6.66%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.43%E +0.357%K +0.476%G +0.007%6.3%2026-09-26 08:40
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -5.20%E -4.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +0.413%E +0.104%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.0%2026-09-26 08:39
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.95%E -4.72%K -22.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.11%E -0.284%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.85%EV -3.71%E -2.88%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -2.63%E -0.685%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-26 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.46%E -3.48%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.64%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 08:50
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.46%E -3.48%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.64%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.20%E -4.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.64%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 08:50
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.70%E -5.36%K -26.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.64%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 13:30
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.70%E -5.36%K -26.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.70%E -5.36%K -26.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.70%E -5.36%K -26.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 08:40
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.95%E -4.72%K -22.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 08:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.46%E -3.48%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 08:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.20%E -4.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 08:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.70%E -5.36%K -26.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 08:45
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.44%E -6.00%K -31.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 08:50
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.71%E -2.88%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 08:50
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.20%E -4.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.70%E -5.36%K -26.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 08:55
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.70%E -5.36%K -26.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.22%E -1.69%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.79%E -4.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 08:45
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -5.20%E -4.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -13.79%E -4.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 08:45
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.46%E -3.48%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.32%E -4.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.92%EV -8.19%E -6.66%K -35.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -20.13%E -6.39%K -9.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-26 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.43%EV -8.94%E -7.32%K -40.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -22.66%E -7.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-26 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.