Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 66.02%1.51fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.59%65.94%66.04%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.84%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 33.98%2.94fair odd
EV -0.769%
Edge -0.263%
Kelly -0.400%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%34.06%33.96%35.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9238.46%36.43%36.36%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 66.02%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 33.98%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.92, with an expected value of -0.769%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.30%E -1.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.25%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.81%E -0.982%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 04:25
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -2.96%E -2.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -4.51%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 04:30
BetUS🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -3.62%E -2.48%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -5.19%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 04:56
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 03:29
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 16:00
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 15:59
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.28%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 04:55
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 03:45
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 04:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.25%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 03:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:55
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:55
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.94%E -3.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.60%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.769%E -0.263%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.60%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.769%E -0.263%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.60%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.49%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 03:30
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.60%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 22:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.60%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.25%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 03:33
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.60%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.25%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 00:15
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.60%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.25%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 04:05
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.60%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 03:30
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 04:49
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.26%E -4.41%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 13:23
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 13:24
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 13:24
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 22:29
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 04:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.25%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 03:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.58%E -5.41%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.64%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 04:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.