Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 2.94
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 66.57%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 33.43%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.94, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -2.14%E -1.45%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -6.07%E -2.16%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 08:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.28%EV -2.80%E -1.92%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.80%E -3.36%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.39%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.80%E -3.36%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.39%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.80%E -3.36%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.80%E -3.36%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.80%E -3.36%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.80%E -3.36%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.73%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 08:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.80%E -3.36%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 08:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.47%E -3.85%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 08:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.47%E -3.85%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.47%E -3.85%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.73%E -0.587%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -7.41%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 08:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 08:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.13%E -4.35%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 00:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 00:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.80%E -4.86%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -8.13%E -5.89%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.79%E -6.42%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.73%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.46%E -6.96%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 00:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.