La scuola delle quote

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Saitama Seibu Lions

Inizio: 2026-05-12 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Casa)

Previsione 63.88%1.57quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -1.48%
Kelly -4.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.66%64.04%63.87%66.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.68%67.34%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Saitama Seibu Lions (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.12%2.77quota equa
EV +1.13%
Vantaggio +0.402%
Kelly +0.625%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.73%35.96%36.13%37.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.602.602.8040.82%38.46%38.46%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.65%E -6.05%K -20.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.13%E +0.402%K +0.625%G +0.007%5.6%2026-05-11 22:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.56%E -7.54%K -26.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.680%E -0.247%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 22:18
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.54%E -2.34%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-12 08:09
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.54%E -2.34%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-12 08:10
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 07:08
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.56%E -7.54%K -26.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 06:24
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.21%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 08:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 08:15
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 13:07
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.26%E -1.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 08:54
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 06:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 06:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 06:44
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.26%E -1.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 08:45
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:14
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:55
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:54
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:09
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 08:20
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 06:54
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.26%E -1.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.82%E -2.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 08:44
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 08:15
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 08:14
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 08:09
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:54
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:54
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:55
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:54
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:55
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 08:15
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -8.65%E -6.05%K -20.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 08:48
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.