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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 65.05%1.54fair odd
EV -0.471%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.889%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.12%64.95%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.441.5373.53%69.08%69.44%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 34.95%2.86fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.466%
Kelly +0.711%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.88%35.05%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.9040.00%37.09%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 65.05%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 34.95%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.93%E -6.38%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.35%E +0.466%K +0.711%G +0.010% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 04:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +1.00%E +0.347%K +0.530%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +1.00%E +0.347%K +0.530%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.02%E -3.44%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.14%E -0.766%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 04:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -11.53%E -8.48%K -32.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -2.14%E -0.766%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-07 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -3.72%E -2.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -2.49%E -0.894%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 04:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.68%E -3.91%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -3.54%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 04:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -3.07%E -2.06%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -4.59%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 04:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.72%E -2.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.94%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.72%E -2.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 02:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.72%E -2.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 04:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.72%E -2.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 04:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 03:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 03:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.98%E -4.88%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 03:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.98%E -4.88%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 03:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.98%E -4.88%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 03:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.93%E -6.38%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.64%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 04:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.72%E -2.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.69%E -2.50%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 03:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -7.04%E -2.65%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 04:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 03:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 04:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.98%E -4.88%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 04:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 02:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 02:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 02:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 03:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.33%E -4.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.13%E -3.51%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 03:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -0.471%E -0.308%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -9.83%E -3.81%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -8.28%E -5.87%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -10.88%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 04:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.42%E -1.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.63%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 08:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.