默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

66%

34%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 65.90%1.52公平赔率

EV -1.81%

优势 -1.22%

Kelly -3.70%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.49

博彩公司预测分布

64.51%65.84%65.87%67.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.371.431.431.4972.99%69.99%69.93%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 34.10%2.93公平赔率

EV -0.425%

优势 -0.145%

Kelly -0.221%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.92

博彩公司预测分布

32.87%34.16%34.13%35.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.492.752.752.9240.16%36.42%36.36%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：65.90%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：34.10%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.93。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.92，期望值为-0.425%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -1.81%E -1.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%	2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-04 08:45
1xBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -2.47%E -1.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -5.54%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-04 08:30
BetUS🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.13%E -2.13%K -6.66%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-04 08:50
NordicBet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-04 08:50
Betsson🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-04 08:50
BetMGM🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.88%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-03 22:45
Coolbet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-04 08:40
DraftKings🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-04 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-04 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-04 08:50
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.60%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-03 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.425%E -0.145%K -0.221%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-04 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.425%E -0.145%K -0.221%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-04 08:30
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.15%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-04 08:50
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-04 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-03 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-03 19:25
Unibet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-04 08:50
BetRivers🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-03 19:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-03 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-03 19:30
ReBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-04 08:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.76%E -4.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-04 08:50
Bovada🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.42%E -4.52%K -15.29%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-04 08:55
Caesars🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.42%E -4.52%K -15.29%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-03 14:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-04 08:49
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-03 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-03 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-03 14:35
Fanatics🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-04 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.74%E -5.53%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-04 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -8.40%E -6.04%K -21.54%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -13.04%E -5.11%K -8.41%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-09-04 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 64.51%EV -9.72%E -7.09%K -26.27%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 35.49%EV -15.09%E -6.06%K -10.13%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-09-04 08:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。