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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 64.16%1.56fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.19%64.34%65.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.471.5270.42%67.99%68.03%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 35.84%2.79fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.660%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.89%35.81%35.66%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.602.7440.00%38.14%38.46%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 64.16%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 35.84%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.74, with an expected value of -1.81%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.47%E -1.63%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.96%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -2.47%E -1.63%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -4.68%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.39%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.81%E -0.660%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.81%E -0.660%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 08:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.24%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.24%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.32%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 13:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 13:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 08:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.53%E -0.929%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:43 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 18:23 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 08:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.62%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.11%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.11%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.11%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 13:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.41%E -4.16%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -10.41%E -4.16%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 18:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.