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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 74.12%1.35fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.95%74.02%74.03%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.271.251.3383.33%78.95%80.00%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV +3.51%
Edge +0.876%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.98%25.97%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.653.704.0031.75%27.42%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 74.12%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 25.88%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.51%E +0.876%K +1.17%G +0.041% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.51%E +0.876%K +1.17%G +0.041% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 04:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.43%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV +1.69%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.6% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -0.376%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -0.376%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -0.376%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 04:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -0.376%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 04:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -0.376%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -0.376%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.38%E -3.40%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.38%E -3.40%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.60%E -5.24%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 04:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.57%E -7.84%K -43.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -1.67%E -0.439%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 04:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.96%E -0.790%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 04:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.96%E -0.790%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.96%E -0.790%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 04:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.26%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -5.86%E -4.62%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 04:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 04:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.09%E -6.52%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.14%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 04:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -1.42%E -1.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.91%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-27 04:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.38%E -3.40%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 04:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.38%E -3.40%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 04:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.38%E -3.40%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 04:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.90%E -2.21%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -12.02%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -2.90%E -2.21%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -14.61%E -4.43%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 20:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -14.61%E -4.43%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 23:33 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%EV -10.31%E -8.52%K -49.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.61%E -4.43%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-27 04:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -4.38%E -3.40%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -18.49%E -5.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 04:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.41%EV -11.05%E -9.21%K -55.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -18.49%E -5.87%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-27 04:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.