The School of Odds

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes

2026-07-22 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 59.82%1.67fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.79%59.64%60.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6266%63%64%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 40.18%2.49fair odd
EV -0.756%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%40.21%40.36%41.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4745%43%43%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.09%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.09%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 14:09
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.09%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -3.97%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-21 14:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.09%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.60%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 13:49
William Hill1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.69%E -2.29%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.37%E -1.84%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 14:25
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -0.756%E -0.306%K -0.515%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-21 17:00
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 18:54
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 14:15
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 14:15
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 15:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.89%E -3.07%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.56%E -0.637%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 14:15
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 14:15
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 14:35
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 14:15
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 14:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.59%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 14:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.60%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.60%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 14:14
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.60%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 14:14
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 14:10
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.59%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 18:10
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.88%E -5.11%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 14:35
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 17:34
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.60%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -10.00%E -4.46%K -8.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 14:13
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.