The School of Odds

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes

2026-07-23 09:00 UTC — NPB

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Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 63.75%1.57fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.71%63.75%66.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5471%68%68%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 36.25%2.76fair odd
EV -0.321%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.184%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%36.29%36.25%37.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.612.7542%38%38%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.82%E -1.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.40%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 13:24
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -1.82%E -1.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.40%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 13:24
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.73%E -2.47%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 13:35
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.37%E -2.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.684%E -0.249%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 15:24
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.37%E -2.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 13:33
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.37%E -2.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.76%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 13:59
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.37%E -2.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.76%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 13:59
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.37%E -2.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.76%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 13:34
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.37%E -2.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 13:14
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.01%E -3.36%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -6.12%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 13:33
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.65%E -3.81%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.13%E -0.790%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 14:39
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.65%E -3.81%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.13%E -0.790%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 14:39
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.65%E -3.81%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 13:35
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.65%E -3.81%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 14:04
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.65%E -3.81%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 13:30
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.81%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 13:30
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.56%E -5.21%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 14:46
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.56%E -5.21%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 14:09
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.20%E -5.69%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.03%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 13:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.20%E -5.69%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.03%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.20%E -5.69%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.03%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 14:04
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -8.20%E -5.69%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.92%EV -10.83%E -4.40%K -7.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:33
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -8.83%E -6.18%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.47%E -6.67%K -22.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-22 13:34
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.75%E -7.68%K -26.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.321%E -0.117%K -0.184%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 13:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.