The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 61.49%1.63fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -6.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.43%61.56%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.31%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 38.51%2.60fair odd
EV -0.644%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.408%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.57%38.44%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.452.5845.45%41.09%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 61.49%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 38.51%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -0.644%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.46%E -2.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.18%E -0.860%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-15 08:30
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.46%E -2.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.11%E -1.65%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 08:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.46%E -2.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 02:18
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.08%E -2.61%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.49%E -1.81%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.08%E -2.61%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.69%E -3.03%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -0.644%E -0.250%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-15 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.69%E -3.03%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -0.644%E -0.250%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-15 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.69%E -3.03%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-15 08:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.69%E -3.03%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-15 08:55
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.69%E -3.03%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.43%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 02:13
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 08:47
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 07:35
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.95%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 07:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 08:55
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.65%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 07:05
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 13:34
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 07:00
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 08:05
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 07:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 07:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.92%E -3.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 07:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 08:54
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 23:44
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.38%E -5.62%K -17.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -10.22%E -7.00%K -22.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-15 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44%EV -11.45%E -7.95%K -26.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -15.28%E -6.94%K -12.73%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-15 08:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.