The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 66.54%1.50fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -7.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.36%66.44%66.51%68.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.411.401.4575.19%70.89%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 33.46%2.99fair odd
EV +0.378%
Edge +0.126%
Kelly +0.189%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%33.56%33.49%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.812.833.0040.00%35.59%35.40%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 66.54%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 33.46%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.378%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.378%E +0.126%K +0.189%G +0.001%3.8%2026-10-16 06:10
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -0.291%E -0.098%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:20
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -4.18%E -2.90%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -0.625%E -0.211%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-16 08:50
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.18%E -2.90%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.63%E -0.905%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 08:35
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.51%E -3.88%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.52%E -2.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 03:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.52%E -2.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 03:35
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:50
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.18%E -4.38%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 05:25
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.85%E -3.39%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:05
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 08:33
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.52%E -2.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.52%E -2.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 05:19
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 03:19
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.50%E -6.99%K -26.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-16 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:49
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 05:20
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.89%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 03:19
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.52%E -2.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.52%E -2.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 05:04
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.18%E -2.90%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-16 05:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.82%EV -10.17%E -7.53%K -29.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-16 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%EV -11.50%E -8.65%K -34.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.73%EV -16.35%E -6.54%K -10.90%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-16 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.